Correlation Isn’t Causation
Two things moving together doesn’t mean one caused the other.
When two things rise and fall together, it’s tempting to say one drives the other — but they might share a hidden third cause, run the other direction, or be coincidence. Before accepting a “this causes that,” ask: could something else cause both? could it be reversed? what’s the base rate? Most confident causal stories in the wild are really just correlations wearing a costume.
Where it applies
Skills this lens bears on — open any to see the lesson.